Markets & Finance
Capital markets, banking, fintech, investment, central banking
Oil Market Volatility: Pricing Geopolitical Risk in Real Time
Oil markets are increasingly driven by geopolitical probabilities rather than immediate supply changes. Diplomatic signals, sanctions risk, and strategic chokepoints now move futures curves before physical flows shift. This analysis explains how investors price geopolitical risk, how volatility propagates across asset classes, and why scenario discipline matters more than narrative reaction.
Emerging Market Debt: Fundamentals, Dollar Cycles, and Sovereign Risk
Emerging market bonds often rally when global liquidity improves and the US dollar softens. But not every rally reflects structural reform or fiscal strength. This analysis examines whether recent performance in emerging market debt is driven by stronger fundamentals or by external monetary conditions, and what that means for sovereign risk assessment.
Equity Market Valuations and Corporate Earnings Outlook for 2026
Are current multiples justified by forward earnings growth, or does the market face a correction risk?
Private Credit Markets: Growth, Risks, and Systemic Implications
The rapid expansion of direct lending and its potential to create hidden leverage in the financial system.
Sovereign Bond Market Dynamics in a Higher-Rate Environment
How government bond markets are adjusting to the end of the low-rate era and rising term premia.
Cryptocurrency Market Maturation and Institutional Adoption Trends
Tracking institutional inflows, regulatory clarity, and market structure developments in digital assets.
Commercial Real Estate Repricing and Banking Sector Exposure
Assessing the scale of unrealised losses in commercial property portfolios and their impact on bank capital.
ETF Market Structure and Liquidity Risk During Stress Events
Examining whether exchange-traded funds amplify volatility or provide resilience in market dislocations.
Central Bank Gold Purchases and Reserve Diversification Strategies
Why central banks are accumulating gold at record rates and what it signals about monetary system confidence.
Venture Capital Dry Powder and Start-Up Valuation Resets
The disconnect between record uninvested capital and depressed deal activity in private technology markets.
Green Bond Market Expansion and ESG Investment Framework Revisions
How the labelled bond market is maturing alongside evolving standards for sustainable investment criteria.